Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Bournemouth take on Genoa on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bournemouth 3-2-0, Genoa 2-1-2. The market favourite is Bournemouth at roughly 62%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Bournemouth — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Bournemouth): model 64% · market 62% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Bournemouth 61.9%, draw 20.7%, win Genoa 17.4%. Model favourite — Bournemouth.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bournemouth.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 9 books (1xBet, BetVictor, Betano, Betfair, Dafabet, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 1xBet | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.51 66.2% | |
| X | 4.50 22.2% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.40 22.7% |
| 5.61 17.8% | 5.10 19.6% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.40 18.5% | 5.50 18.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.31 43.3% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_1 | 18.00 5.6% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 30.00 3.3% |
| 0_3 | 60.00 1.7% |
| 0_4 | 90.00 1.1% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 9.40 10.6% |
| 1_1 | 7.80 12.8% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 15.50 6.5% |
| 1_3 | 36.00 2.8% |
| 1_4 | 60.00 1.7% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.53 | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| Winline | 1.49 | 4.3 | 5 |
| Fonbet | 1.53 | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| Betcity | 1.52 | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.5 | 4.4 | 5 |
Bournemouth
Full head-to-head historyBournemouth - Genoa
The Bournemouth - Genoa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
