Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Bracknell Town - Dorking Wanderers
Bracknell Town take on Dorking Wanderers on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bracknell Town 0-1-3, Dorking Wanderers 2-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Dorking Wanderers — 60%
Pure model vs market (2 · Dorking Wanderers): model 40% · market 61% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Bracknell Town 19.1%, draw 20.8%, win Dorking Wanderers 60.1%. Model favourite — Dorking Wanderers.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Dorking 🏴: probability 50% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
- • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bracknell Town - Dorking Wanderers August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.20 / X 4.50 / 2 1.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Bracknell Town - Dorking Wanderers
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.31 43.3% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 2.40 41.7% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.97 20.1% | |
| X | 2.54 39.4% |
| 1.98 50.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.14 46.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.81 26.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
Dorking Wanderers
Full head-to-head historyBracknell Town - Dorking Wanderers
Match history
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The Bracknell Town - Dorking Wanderers breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form