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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Cadiz - Granada CF

Football
C
Cadiz
- : -
Not started
G
Granada CF

Cadiz go head-to-head with Granada CF on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cadiz 1-0-4, Granada CF 3-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Cadiz — 38%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cadiz): model 31% · market 39% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cadiz38.4%
X · draw27.4%
2 · Granada CF34.3%

Model estimate: win Cadiz 38.4%, draw 27.4%, win Granada CF 34.3%. Model favourite — Cadiz.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Granada CF (odds1.81) Score 1:2 confidence 55%
  • • Model backs Granada 🇪🇸: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cadiz - Granada CF August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cadiz. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / X 3.20 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8% 2 books · best price +2.5%
1 38.8%
X 27.7%
2 33.4%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.45 → 2.45
1X2 X 3.15 ↑ 3.20
1X2 P2 2.95 ↓ 2.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Cadiz
#8531 ptsGP 30-1-23:6
Granada CF
#1096 ptsGP 22-0-03:0
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cadiz
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.51 xG 1.33 xGA 1.17
Granada CF
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.29 Conceded 1.16 xG 1.30 xGA 1.36

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cadiz
Rating 1413
Granada CF
Rating 1722

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 38.3% @ 2.45 / X 29.3% @ 3.20 / 2 32.4% @ 2.90
Match center

Cadiz - Granada CF

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cadiz 38.8% 38.4% market and model agree
Draw 27.7% 27.4% draw risk
Granada CF 33.4% 34.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 38.4% / 27.4% / 34.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,459 / 1,738 Cadiz / Granada
RD 185 / 198 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,089-1,828 / 1,342-2,135 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · no value · model 34.3%
X 3.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.45 Fonbet · no value · model 38.4%
Double chance
12 1.33 Fonbet · no value · model 72.6%
1X 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 65.7%
X2 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 61.6%
Handicap
2 -1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.98 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.78 56.2% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.98 50.5% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.33 75.2%
1x 1.40 71.4%
x2 1.52 65.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.92 34.3%
X 2.24 44.6%
3.22 31.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.65 60.6%
Under 1 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Cadiz
L L L L W
01.08 19:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Cadiz 1:2 Tenerife 🇪🇸
29.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Cadiz 1:3 Seuta 🇪🇸
25.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Cadiz 0:1 Kordoba 🇪🇸Kordoba 🇪🇸
22.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Cadiz 0:1 Lester 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Lester 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
18.07 14:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Cadiz 2:1 Orlando Payrats 🇿🇦Orlando Payrats 🇿🇦
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Granada CF
W W W D
29.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Granada CF 2:0 Almeriya 🇪🇸
25.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Granada CF 1:0 Betis 🇪🇸Betis 🇪🇸
22.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Granada CF 2:0 Neom SK 🇸🇦Neom SK 🇸🇦
18.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Granada CF 1:1 Khuventud Torremolinos 🇪🇸
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.3 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCadiz - Granada CF

Cadiz
0 matches total
Granada CF
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history