Match center
Start
26.06.2026 16:30 UTC
26.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Cambrian United 🏴 - Newport City 🏴
C
Cambrian United 🏴
1
:
0
Finished
N
Newport City 🏴
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cambrian United 🏴 - Newport City 🏴 June 26, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Cambrian United 🏴. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 8.50 / 2 8.70
- Total 2.5: over probability 49.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 16.7%
1
80.1%
X
10.1%
2
9.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
5/5
Confidence
71.1%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Cambrian United 🏴 - Newport City 🏴
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Cambrian United 🏴
68.4%
-
market favourite
Draw
19.5%
-
draw risk
Newport City 🏴
12.1%
-
Total 2.5
Over 49.2%
-
Under 50.8%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Thin market consensus
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.40
market consensus · line only
X
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.11
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.20
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
4.05
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.18
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.85
Fonbet · no value · model 49.2%
Under 2.5
1.85
Fonbet · no value · model 50.8%
Both teams to score
No
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 6.20 16.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | |
| 2.95 33.9% | |
| 7.00 14.3% | |
| 5.90 17.0% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 1.32 75.8% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 4.05 24.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.25 80.0% | — |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.30 76.9% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | — | 3.35 29.9% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 6.70 14.9% | — |
| Over 5.5 | — | 6.30 15.9% | — |
| Under 0.5 | — | 3.45 29.0% | — |
| Under 1.5 | — | 3.05 32.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | — | 1.25 80.0% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 4.5 | — | 1.06 94.3% | — |
| Under 5.5 | — | 1.07 93.5% | — |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCambrian United 🏴 - Newport City 🏴
Cambrian United 🏴
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.