LOW
Total goals: Under 3.5
odds 1.65
hist. ROI +2.0%
Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontardeyv 🏴
C
Cardiff Metropolitan
5
:
0
Finished
P
Pontardeyv 🏴
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Cardiff Metropolitan (odds1.18)
Score 3:0 (odds9.00)
confidence 79%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Kardiff Metropolitan 🏴: probability 79% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.34)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 3:0 (odds 9.00).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontardeyv 🏴 June 27, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Cardiff Metropolitan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 10.00 / 2 8.10
- Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 16.7%
1
80.8%
X
8.6%
2
10.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
5/5
Confidence
72.9%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Start
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
Match center
Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontardeyv 🏴
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
5:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Cardiff Metropolitan
70.6%
-
market favourite
Draw
18.2%
-
draw risk
Pontardeyv 🏴
11.2%
-
Total 2.5
Over 0.0%
-
Under 0.0%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Thin market consensus
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.10
market consensus · line only
X
10.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.03
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.05
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.70
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
7.50
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.05
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 6.70 14.9% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 4.30 23.3% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 7.20 13.9% | |
| 7.60 13.2% | |
| 7.90 12.7% | |
| 2.90 34.5% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 7.50 13.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 6.5 | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 7.5 | — | 4.50 22.2% |
| Over 8.5 | — | 7.10 14.1% |
| Under 1.5 | — | 3.20 31.3% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.92 52.1% | 9.00 11.1% |
| Under 4.5 | — | 4.10 24.4% |
| Under 5.5 | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Under 6.5 | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 7.5 | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Under 8.5 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCardiff Metropolitan - Pontardeyv 🏴
Cardiff Metropolitan
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.