Match center
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28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Carlisle United - Salford City
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Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Salford City — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Salford City): model 57% · market 46% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Carlisle United 28.1%, draw 25.6%, win Salford City 46.2%. Model favourite — Salford City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Salford City (odds4.71)
Score 0:3
confidence 78%
- • Model backs Solford 🏴: probability 78% vs 21% on the line (odds 4.71)
- • edge over the line +57 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:3.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Carlisle United - Salford City July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Salford City.
Line favourite market consensus: Salford City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.23 / X 3.48 / 2 1.97
- 1X2 market: Carlisle United 28.1% / X 26.0% / Salford City 45.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.5%
1
28.0%
X
26.0%
2
46.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Carlisle United
3
:
1
Salford City
13.03
X3.34
22.12
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Salford City 46%
💹 Market
Salford City 4593%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Carlisle United - Salford City
Form
1/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Carlisle United
28.4%
28.1%
Draw
26.1%
25.6%
draw risk
Salford City
45.6%
46.2%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
28.1% / 25.6% / 46.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,951
Carlisle United / Salford City
RD
350 / 271
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 1,409-2,492
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.98
market consensus · no value · model 46.2%
X
3.48
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.21
market consensus · no value · model 28.1%
Double chance
12
1.26
market consensus · no value · model 74.4%
1X
1.67
market consensus · no value · model 53.8%
X2
1.34
market consensus · no value · model 71.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.95
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.52
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.65
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.00
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.93
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.11
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.68
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.26 30.7% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.35 29.9% | |
| X | 3.58 27.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 1.94 51.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.06 48.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.11 47.4% |
| yes | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.67 59.9% |
| x2 | 1.34 74.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_5 | 75.00 1.3% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_4 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_5 | 75.00 1.3% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 1-1-0, avg 2.5 gls
2025-05-03 · Karlayl Yunayted 2:2 Solford Siti
2024-11-09 · Karlayl Yunayted 1:0 Solford Siti
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 3.85 (Pari) · X 3.7 (Pari) · 2 1.84 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.85 | 3.7 | 1.82 |
| Winline | 3.8 | 3.5 | 1.81 |
| Fonbet | 3.85 | 3.7 | 1.82 |
| Betcity | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.84 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.8 | 3.55 | 1.83 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Carlisle United
L
Carlisle United
0:5
Darlington 🏴
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
5.0
Conceded
0
Points
Salford City
W
W
Salford City
3:2
Dandi Yunayted 🏴
Salford City
4:1
Yunayted of Manchester 🏴
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCarlisle United - Salford City
Carlisle United
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
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- Match history & form