Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Cesena go head-to-head with Fossombrone on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cesena 1-2-2, Fossombrone 2-1-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cesena — 82%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cesena): model 58% · market 83% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Cesena 82.1%, draw 10.8%, win Fossombrone 7.1%. Model favourite — Cesena.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 2.02 49.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.01 99.0% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 5.10 19.6% | 5.80 17.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| — | 1.32 75.8% | |
| — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 1.88 53.2% | |
| — | 2.40 41.7% | |
| — | 2.85 35.1% | |
| — | 4.15 24.1% | |
| — | 4.70 21.3% | |
| 1.69 59.2% | — | |
| — | 3.00 33.3% | |
| — | 2.45 40.8% | |
| — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| — | 1.50 66.7% | |
| — | 1.35 74.1% | |
| — | 1.17 85.5% | |
| — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 2 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 3 | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 4 | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 5 | — | 3.60 27.8% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 4.10 24.4% |
| Over 6 | — | 5.70 17.5% |
| Over 6.5 | — | 6.40 15.6% |
| Under 1.5 | — | 6.80 14.7% |
| Under 2 | — | 6.00 16.7% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 3.25 30.8% |
| Under 3 | — | 2.70 37.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 2.00 50.0% |
Full head-to-head historyCesena - Fossombrone
The Cesena - Fossombrone breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
