Cesena vs Fossombrone 🇮🇹 prediction — August 1, 2026

Match center

Cesena - Fossombrone

Form 2/0 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cesena 83.5% 63.9% market and model agree

Draw 11.7% 17.0% draw risk

Fossombrone 4.8% 19.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 63.9% / 17.0% / 19.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,752 / 1,500 Cesena / Fossombrone 🇮🇹

RD 261 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,229-2,275 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.70 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 63.9%

Double chance

12 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 83.0%

X2 5.10 market consensus · no value · model 36.1%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet
12	1.01 99.0%
x2	5.10 19.6%

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet
	1.88 53.2%
	1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet
Over 3.5	1.68 59.5%
Under 3.5	2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet
	1.08 92.6%
X	7.70 13.0%
	19.00 5.3%

Cesena - Fossombrone

AI match prediction Cesena - Fossombrone August 1, 2026

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Cesena - Fossombrone

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Double chance

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history