Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
03.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Chelsea - Juventus

Football
Chelsea
Chelsea
- : -
Not started
Juventus
Juventus

Chelsea go head-to-head with Juventus on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chelsea 1-0-0, Juventus 1-2-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chelsea52%

1 · Chelsea52.2%
X · draw19.0%
2 · Juventus28.8%

Model estimate: win Chelsea 52.2%, draw 19.0%, win Juventus 28.8%. Model favourite — Chelsea.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chelsea (odds2.75) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Chelsi 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.75)
  • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Juventus August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 3.40 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 32.7%
X 26.4%
2 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Chelsea
#4253 ptsGP 21-0-17:6
Juventus
#1066 ptsGP 22-0-03:0
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Chelsea
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 2.27 Conceded 2.12 xG 2.03 xGA 1.32 Corners 5.7
Juventus
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.42 Conceded 0.95 xG 1.82 xGA 1.10 Corners 3.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Chelsea
Rating 1700
Juventus
Rating 1887

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Market 1 32.7% @ 2.75 / X 26.4% @ 3.40 / 2 40.9% @ 2.20
Match center

Chelsea - Juventus

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chelsea 32.7% 52.2% Glicko contrarian
Draw 26.4% 19.0% draw risk
Juventus 40.9% 28.8% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.2% / 19.0% / 28.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,658 / 1,662 Chelsi 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 / Juventus
RD 291 / 213 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,076-2,240 / 1,236-2,087 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 28.8%
X 3.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.75 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 52.2%
Double chance
12 1.27 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.0%
1X 1.60 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 71.2%
X2 1.39 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 47.8%
Handicap
2 0 1.68 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.60 62.5%
x2 1.39 71.9%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
2.06 48.5%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 1.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 1.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
2.75 36.4%
X 3.40 29.4%
2.20 45.5%
Match center
Chelsea
W
28.07 07:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Chelsea 6:4 VS Uonderers 🇦🇺
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
3 Points
Juventus
D W D
31.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Juventus 0:0 Nitstsa 🇫🇷Nitstsa 🇫🇷
25.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Juventus 1:0 Standard 🇧🇪
18.07 11:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Juventus 0:0 Bazel 🇨🇭
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Juventus

Chelsea
0 matches total
Juventus
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history