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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

04.08.2026 11:30 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

04.08.2026 11:30 UTC

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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Chelsea - Juventus

Football

Chelsea

- : -

Not started

Juventus

Chelsea meet Juventus on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chelsea 2-0-3, Juventus 2-2-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chelsea — 46%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chelsea): model 44% · market 46% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Chelsea46.2%

X · draw24.5%

2 · Juventus29.3%

Model estimate: win Chelsea 46.2%, draw 24.5%, win Juventus 29.3%. Model favourite — Chelsea.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chelsea (odds2.75) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Chelsi 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.75)
• edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Juventus August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / X 3.85 / 2 3.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0% 4 books · best price +40.4%

1 46.3%

X 24.7%

2 29.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 2.00 → 2.00

1X2 X 3.85 → 3.85

1X2 P2 3.25 → 3.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

League table

Chelsea

#4243 ptsGP 21-0-17:6

Juventus

#1076 ptsGP 22-0-03:0

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Chelsea

W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 2.27 Conceded 2.12 xG 2.03 xGA 1.32 Corners 5.7

Juventus

W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.42 Conceded 0.95 xG 1.82 xGA 1.10 Corners 3.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Chelsea

Rating 1700

Juventus

Rating 1887

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center

Start 04.08.2026 11:30 UTC

Market 1 46.8% @ 2.00 / X 24.3% @ 3.85 / 2 28.8% @ 3.25

Match center

Chelsea - Juventus

football, Chelsi - Yuventus, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Chelsi - Yuventus, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Chelsea 46.3% 46.2% market and model agree

Draw 24.7% 24.5% draw risk

Juventus 29.0% 29.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 46.2% / 24.5% / 29.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,658 / 1,662 Chelsea / Juventus

RD 291 / 213 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,076-2,240 / 1,236-2,087 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.25 Fonbet · no value · model 29.3%

X 3.85 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 46.2%

Double chance

12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 75.5%

1X 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 70.7%

X2 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 53.8%

Handicap

2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 5.00 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.55 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.55 39.2%	2.60 38.5%
yes	1.48 67.6%	1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.19 84.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%
1x	1.29 77.5%	1.61 62.1%	1.32 75.8%
x2	1.71 58.5%	1.38 72.5%	1.75 57.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.51 39.8%
X	2.33 42.9%
	3.68 27.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.20 45.5%
Under 1.5	1.60 62.5%

Match center

Chelsea

L W L W L

2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026

Chelsea Chelsea 1:2 Tottenham

2026-07-28 Club Friendly Games 2026

Chelsea Chelsea 6:4 Western Sydney Wanderers

2026-05-24 Premier League 25/26

Chelsea Sunderland 2:1 Chelsea

2026-05-19 Premier League 25/26

Chelsea Chelsea 2:1 Tottenham

2026-05-16 FA Cup 25/26

Chelsea Chelsea 0:1 Manchester City

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

6 Points

Juventus

W W D D L

2026-07-31 Club Friendly Games 2026

Juventus 2:0 Nice Juventus

2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026

Standard Liege 0:1 Juventus Juventus

2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026

Basel 0:0 Juventus Juventus

2026-05-24 Serie A 25/26

Torino 2:2 Juventus Juventus

2026-05-17 Serie A 25/26

Juventus 0:2 Fiorentina Juventus

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Juventus

Chelsea

0 matches total

Juventus

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Chelsea

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Juventus

2 Games 2

1 Wins 2

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

7 Scored 3

6 Conceded 0

3 Points 6

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

6.5 Big chances 2

19 Shots on goal 9

8.5 Udary v stvor 4

2 Games 2

1 Wins 2

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

7 Scored 3

6 Conceded 0

Chelsi Yuventus 2 Games 2 1 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 7 Scored 3 6 Conceded 0 3 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 6.5 Big chances 2 19 Shots on goal 9 8.5 Udary v stvor 4 0.5 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4 Uglovye 5 1.5 Offsaydy 1.5 9 Foly 12.5 52.5 % vladeniya myachom 48 0 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery No dannykh Glavnye trenery Luchano Spalletti Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 46% 4% 50% Double chance 25% 48% 27% Materialy po prognozam «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Yuventus» — «Roma»: kogda goly — eto ne glavnoe «Manchester Siti» and «Yuventus» prizhmut eks-trenera «Krasnodara» na klubnom ChM-2025: Group G Zhiru and Loris brosayut vyzov «Chelsi»: Group D na klubnom ChM-2025 Mareska zasluzhil! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi konferentsiy «Betis» — «Chelsi» Ekspress na voskresene: poslednee delo Anchelotti, pervoe derbi Guseva U «Chelsi» No konkurentov. Ili est? Chego zhdat ot playoff Ligi konferentsiy Shans dlya Amorima and Gvardioly spasti sezon. Kto vyigraet Cup England? Dubl dlya Indzagi or krasivyy Final dlya Raneri? Chego zhdat ot Kubka Italy Kto brosit vyzov «Interu» v Serii A? Konte and Gasperini v dele!