Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Chernomorets πΊπ¦ - Krivbass πΊπ¦
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Chernomorets πΊπ¦: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
- • edge over the line +16 pp β value pick
- • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chernomorets πΊπ¦ - Krivbass πΊπ¦ July 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.70 / X 4.60 / 2 1.45
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
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Chernomorets πΊπ¦ - Krivbass πΊπ¦
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 2.55 39.2% |
| x2 | 1.10 90.9% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 3.40 29.4% | |
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| 6.30 15.9% | |
| 7.20 13.9% | |
| 1.17 85.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 3.30 30.3% |
| Over 2 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 3 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 4 | 3.35 29.9% |
| Over 4.5 | 3.95 25.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 1 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Under 2 | 3.60 27.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 3 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 4 | 1.28 78.1% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
Full head-to-head historyChernomorets πΊπ¦ - Krivbass πΊπ¦