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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Chertsey Town - Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
C
Chertsey Town
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:
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Not started
C
Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 46%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 18% ยท market 48% ฮ โ30 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Chertsey Town 30.2%, draw 23.5%, win Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 46.3%. Model favourite โ Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Chertsey Town (odds3.12)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Chertsi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.12)
- • edge over the line +18 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chertsey Town - Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Line favourite market consensus: Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.24 / X 3.80 / 2 1.88
- 1X2 market: Chertsey Town 28.0% / X 23.9% / Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 48.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.4%
1
28.0%
X
23.8%
2
48.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Chertsey Town
2
:
1
Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
13.48
X3.74
21.83
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 46%
๐น Market
Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 4817%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Chertsey Town - Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Form
4/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Chertsey Town
28.0%
30.2%
Draw
23.9%
23.5%
draw risk
Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
48.1%
46.3%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
30.2% / 23.5% / 46.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,901 / 1,500
Chertsey Town / Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
245 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,411-2,390 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.88
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 46.3%
X
3.81
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.24
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 30.2%
Double chance
12
1.19
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 76.5%
1X
1.82
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 53.7%
X2
1.32
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 69.8%
Handicap
2 -1
2.43
market consensus ยท line only
2 0
1.50
market consensus ยท line only
1 +1
1.52
market consensus ยท line only
1 0
2.46
market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.40
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.65
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.69
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.43
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.48 28.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.40 29.4% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.74 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.69 37.2% |
| yes | 1.43 69.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.82 55.0% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_4 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_5 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_4 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_5 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_6 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
Match center
Odds ยท 3 bookmakers
Best price: 1 3.15 (Pari) ยท X 4.1 (Pari) ยท 2 1.9 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.15 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| Fonbet | 3.15 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| Betcity | 3.1 | 4.1 | 1.88 |
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Chertsey Town
D
W
W
W
Chertsey Town
1:1
Khempton end Richmond ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Chertsey Town
2:0
Ueldstoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Chertsey Town
4:1
Egam ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Chertsey Town
5:0
Eshford ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
10
Points
Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
W
Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
6:2
Basingstouk ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
6.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChertsey Town - Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Chertsey Town
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Chertsey Town - Chesham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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