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31.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Crawley Town - Reading
C
Crawley Town
-
:
-
Not started
R
Reading
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Reading — 61%
Pure model vs market (2 · Reading): model 52% · market 55% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Crawley Town 17.6%, draw 21.3%, win Reading 61.1%. Model favourite — Reading.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Reading (odds1.48)
Score 1:2
confidence 59%
- • Model backs Reding 🏴: probability 59% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
- • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Crawley Town - Reading July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Reading. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / X 3.95 / 2 1.68
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
21.5%
X
23.4%
2 ✓ Pick
55.1%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Crawley Town
1
:
4
Reading
17.75
X5.24
21.34
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Crawley Town - Reading
Form
2/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Crawley Town
16.9%
17.6%
Draw
21.4%
21.3%
draw risk
Reading
61.7%
61.1%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
17.6% / 21.3% / 61.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,446 / 1,805
Crawley Town / Reading
RD
248 / 199
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
950-1,943 / 1,407-2,204
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.68
Fonbet · weak value +2.7% · model 61.1%
X
3.95
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.30
Fonbet · no value · model 17.6%
Double chance
12
1.20
Fonbet · no value · model 78.7%
1X
2.05
Fonbet · no value · model 38.9%
X2
1.18
Fonbet · no value · model 82.4%
Handicap
2 -1
1.96
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.20
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.30
market consensus · line only
1 +1
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.73
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.00
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.01
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% |
| x2 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.77 21.0% | |
| X | 2.28 43.9% |
| 2.21 45.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 1 | 1.69 59.2% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.12 32.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.05 48.8% |
Match center
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 4.7 (Pari) · X 4 (Pari) · 2 1.67 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 4.7 | 4 | 1.62 |
| Winline | 4.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Fonbet | 4.7 | 4 | 1.62 |
| Betcity | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.67 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Crawley Town
L
W
Crawley Town
1:3
Oksford Yunayted 🏴
Oksford Yunayted 🏴
Crawley Town
1:0
Istli 🏴
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Reading
W
W
L
W
Reading
4:0
Nyuport 🏴
Reading
2:0
Uoking 🏴
Uoking 🏴
Reading
0:1
Khetafe 🇪🇸
Reading
2:1
Farnboro 🏴
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCrawley Town - Reading
Crawley Town
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Win probabilities & value flags
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