Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

04.07.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 11:30 UTC

Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

Futbol

CSKA Moscow

1 : 1

Finished

Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / X 1.30 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%

1 20.2%

X 71.4%

2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Club Friendlies

Team stats

CSKA Moscow

WWLDDDLLWW

W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:1.5 : 1.2

Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

WLDLDDDLLD

W 1 • D 5 • L 4 (10)

Goals average:1 : 1.5

Head-to-head: 15 — CSKA Moscow 7, draws 2, Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺 6 (goals 28:17)

CSKA Moscow — Arsenal Tula2021-12-11 2:0
Arsenal Tula — CSKA Moscow2021-09-12 2:2
Arsenal Tula — CSKA Moscow2021-04-08 1:2
Arsenal Tula — CSKA Moscow2021-03-13 2:1
CSKA Moscow — Arsenal Tula2020-10-26 5:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

CSKA Moscow

Well rested

Rest days: 4
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium UTTs Novogorsk

Start 04.07.2026 11:30 UTC

Match center

CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи CSKA - Арсенал Т, 4 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Клубные товарищеские матчи 2026. CSKA - Арсенал Т, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

Form 1/0 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 3.20 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only

2 0 7.80 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.03 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.10 90.9%
yes	5.70 17.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	3.20 31.3%
1x	1.01 99.0%
x2	1.16 86.2%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.03 49.3%
	3.00 33.3%
	2.85 35.1%
	8.50 11.8%
	8.50 11.8%
	1.06 94.3%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.05 95.2%
	7.80 12.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 0.5	1.30 76.9%
Over 1	1.35 74.1%
Over 1.5	4.15 24.1%
Over 2	2.60 38.5%
Over 2.5	3.30 30.3%
Over 3.5	8.50 11.8%
Over 4.5	5.60 17.9%
Over 5.5	8.50 11.8%
Under 0.5	3.30 30.3%
Under 1	2.90 34.5%
Under 1.5	1.19 84.0%
Under 2	1.45 69.0%
Under 2.5	1.30 76.9%
Under 3.5	1.04 96.2%
Under 4.5	1.11 90.1%
Under 5.5	1.04 96.2%

Match center

CSKA Moscow

30.06 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

CSKA Moscow 1:1 Shinnik 🇷🇺

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyЦСКА Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

CSKA Moscow

0 matches total

Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 CSKA Moscow

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺

4 Games 1

3 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 1

12 Scored 0

8 Conceded 4

9 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

упреждения 0 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Тамерлан Мусаев 1:0 45' Тимур Мелекесцев 1:1 83' Наказания Артём Бандикян 22' Никита Кармаев 41' Егор Бесаев 90+2'

CSKA Арсенал Т 4 Игры 1 3 Победы 0 0 Ничьи 0 1 Поражения 1 12 Забито 0 8 Пропущено 4 9 Очки 0 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0.25 Warnings 0 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Тамерлан Мусаев 1:0 45' Тимур Мелекесцев 1:1 83' Наказания Артём Бандикян 22' Никита Кармаев 41' Егор Бесаев 90+2'