UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺 July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / X 1.30 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Club Friendlies
Team stats
- CSKA Moscow — Arsenal Tula2021-12-11 2:0
- Arsenal Tula — CSKA Moscow2021-09-12 2:2
- Arsenal Tula — CSKA Moscow2021-04-08 1:2
- Arsenal Tula — CSKA Moscow2021-03-13 2:1
- CSKA Moscow — Arsenal Tula2020-10-26 5:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺
Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи CSKA - Арсенал Т, 4 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Клубные товарищеские матчи 2026. CSKA - Арсенал Т, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.10 90.9% |
| yes | 5.70 17.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 3.20 31.3% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.16 86.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 7.80 12.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 1 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 4.15 24.1% |
| Over 2 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 3.30 30.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 4.5 | 5.60 17.9% |
| Over 5.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.30 30.3% |
| Under 1 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Under 2 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
CSKA Moscow
Full head-to-head historyЦСКА Moscow - Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺
Match history
CSKA Арсенал Т 4 Игры 1 3 Победы 0 0 Ничьи 0 1 Поражения 1 12 Забито 0 8 Пропущено 4 9 Очки 0 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0.25 Warnings 0 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Тамерлан Мусаев 1:0 45' Тимур Мелекесцев 1:1 83' Наказания Артём Бандикян 22' Никита Кармаев 41' Егор Бесаев 90+2'