UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Dagenham and Redbridge - Boreham Wood
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Boreham Wood — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Boreham Wood): model 32% · market 47% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Dagenham and Redbridge 28.6%, draw 25.2%, win Boreham Wood 46.2%. Model favourite — Boreham Wood.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Dagenkhem end Redbridzh 🏴: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.23)
- • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dagenham and Redbridge - Boreham Wood July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boreham Wood.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / X 3.55 / 2 1.93
- 1X2 market: Dagenham and Redbridge 27.4% / X 25.6% / Boreham Wood 47.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Dagenham and Redbridge - Boreham Wood
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.40 29.4% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | |
| X | 3.52 28.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.37 42.2% |
| yes | 1.54 64.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_4 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_5 | 75.00 1.3% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_4 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_5 | 65.00 1.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.95 25.3% | |
| X | 2.24 44.6% |
| 2.50 40.0% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.3 | 3.75 | 1.97 |
| Winline | 3.2 | 3.55 | 1.98 |
| Fonbet | 3.3 | 3.75 | 1.97 |
| Betcity | 3.2 | 3.7 | 1.94 |
Real Bedford 🏴
Full head-to-head historyDagenham and Redbridge - Boreham Wood
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form