Match center
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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Dartford - Chelmsford City
D
Dartford
-
:
-
Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Chelmsford City — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Chelmsford City): model 34% · market 58% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Dartford 21.1%, draw 22.4%, win Chelmsford City 56.5%. Model favourite — Chelmsford City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Chelmsford City (odds1.57)
Score 1:2
confidence 56%
- • Model backs Chelmsford 🏴: probability 56% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dartford - Chelmsford City July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelmsford City.
Line favourite market consensus: Chelmsford City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.63 / X 4.04 / 2 1.56
- 1X2 market: Dartford 19.6% / X 22.4% / Chelmsford City 58.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.5%
1
19.6%
X
22.4%
2
58.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Dartford
1
:
1
Chelmsford City
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Chelmsford City 56%
💹 Market
Chelmsford City 5804%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Dartford - Chelmsford City
Form
4/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Dartford
19.7%
21.1%
Draw
22.5%
22.4%
draw risk
Chelmsford City
57.9%
56.5%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
21.1% / 22.4% / 56.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,755 / 1,771
Dartford / Chelmsford City
RD
232 / 248
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,292-2,218 / 1,276-2,267
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.56
market consensus · no value · model 56.5%
X
4.04
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.64
market consensus · no value · model 21.1%
Double chance
12
1.17
market consensus · no value · model 77.6%
1X
2.14
market consensus · no value · model 43.5%
X2
1.13
market consensus · no value · model 78.9%
Handicap
2 -1
1.92
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.24
market consensus · line only
1 +1
1.82
market consensus · line only
1 0
3.60
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.42
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.27
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.59
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.33 23.1% | 4.86 20.6% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.60 21.7% | 5.00 20.0% | |
| X | 3.95 25.3% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 2.05 48.8% | 2.23 44.8% |
| x2 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.16 86.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_3 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_4 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_5 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_6 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_3 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_4 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_5 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_6 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 2_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
Match center
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 4.8 (Pari) · X 4.2 (Pari) · 2 1.58 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 4.8 | 4.2 | 1.58 |
| Winline | 4.5 | 4.1 | 1.58 |
| Fonbet | 4.8 | 4.2 | 1.58 |
| Betcity | 4.6 | 4 | 1.58 |
| Liga Stavok | 4.7 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Dartford
W
L
W
D
Dartford
2:0
Favershem 🏴
Dartford
0:3
Billerike 🏴
Dartford
2:1
Sutton Athletic 🏴
Dartford
0:0
Folkestoun 🏴
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Chelmsford City
W
W
Chelmsford City
1:0
Kanvi Aylend 🏴
Kanvi Aylend 🏴
Chelmsford City
3:1
Bishops Stortford 🏴
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDartford - Chelmsford City
Dartford
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form