Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
12.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

De Graafschap - AEK Athens

Futbol
De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1 : 2
Finished
AEK Athens
AEK Athens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction De Graafschap - AEK Athens July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: AEK Athens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 11.50 / X 7.70 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 20.7%
1 7.2%
X 10.8%
2 82.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

De Graafschap 2 : 2 AEK Athens
19.60
X6.95
21.22

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

De Graafschap - AEK Athens

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 9.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.15 market consensus · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.32 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.17 85.5% 2.68 37.3%
yes 4.50 22.2% 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.05 95.2%
1x 3.90 25.6% 4.40 22.7% 11.00 9.1%
x2 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6% 1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.90 14.5%
X 3.25 30.8%
1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2 2.13 47.0%
Under 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Under 2 1.64 61.0%
Match center
De Graafschap
L
03.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
De Graafschap 2:7 Kherenven 🇳🇱
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
7.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDe Graafschap - AEK Athens

De Graafschap
0 matches total
AEK Athens
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history