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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Den Bosch - Al-Fayha

Football
D
Den Bosch
- : -
Not started
A
Al-Fayha
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Den Bosch69%

1 · Den Bosch ✓ Pick68.6%
market41%
X · draw15.6%
market24%
2 · Al-Fayha15.8%
market36%

Model estimate: win Den Bosch 68.6%, draw 15.6%, win Al-Fayha 15.8%. Model favourite — Den Bosch.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Den Bosch - Al-Fayha July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Den Bosch. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.80 / 2 2.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 ✓ Pick 40.5%
X 23.9%
2 35.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Den Bosch 1 : 1 Al-Fayha
13.66
X3.10
21.98

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Den Bosch - Al-Fayha

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Den Bosch 40.5% 68.6% market and model agree
Draw 23.9% 15.6% draw risk
Al-Fayha 35.6% 15.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 68.6% / 15.6% / 15.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,737 / 1,343 Den Bosch / Al-Fayha
RD 225 / 237 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,288-2,186 / 869-1,817 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · no value · model 15.8%
X 3.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.24 market consensus · weak value +53.8% · model 68.6%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · weak value +3.0% · model 84.4%
1X 1.45 market consensus · value +22.1% · model 84.2%
X2 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 31.4%
Handicap
2 0 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.58 63.3%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.73 57.8%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.52 65.8%
Under 2.5 2.37 42.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
2.24 44.6%
X 3.80 26.3%
2.55 39.2%
Match center
Den Bosch
W D W
24.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Den Bosch 2:1 Lusail (Kat)
18.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Den Bosch 0:0 Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱
11.07 10:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Den Bosch 3:1 Kvik Boys 🇳🇱
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Al-Fayha
D L
22.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Fayha 0:0 Vesterlo 🇧🇪
18.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Al-Fayha 0:7 Neymegen 🇳🇱Neymegen 🇳🇱
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDen Bosch - Al-Fayha

Den Bosch
0 matches total
Al-Fayha
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history