Match center
Start
28.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
28.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Not started
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Deportivo 🇪🇸 - Lugo
D
Deportivo 🇪🇸
-
:
-
Not started
L
Lugo
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Deportivo 🇪🇸 — 63%
Model estimate: win Deportivo 🇪🇸 62.7%, draw 17.4%, win Lugo 20.0%. Model favourite — Deportivo 🇪🇸.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Deportivo 🇪🇸 (odds2.50)
Score 2:0
Over 0.5
(odds1.43)
Handicap H1 +0
(odds1.48)
confidence 63%
- • Model backs Deportivo 🇪🇸: probability 63% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.50)
- • edge over the line +23 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Over 0.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 0.5 (odds 1.43)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.48).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deportivo 🇪🇸 - Lugo July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Deportivo 🇪🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 1.32 / 2 6.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 86.6%
1 ✓ Pick
51.5%
X
40.6%
2
7.9%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
2.40
→ 2.40
1X2 X
2.60
↓ 2.20
1X2 P2
3.40
↑ 4.50
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Deportivo 🇪🇸
1
:
3
Lugo
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
LIVE
Now in play
score 2:0 · 90'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
LIVE
Match momentum (live)
2:0 90'
Deportivo 🇪🇸
Lugo
Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Deportivo 🇪🇸 - Lugo
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Deportivo 🇪🇸
38.1%
62.7%
market and model agree
Draw
41.6%
17.4%
draw risk
Lugo
20.3%
20.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
62.7% / 17.4% / 20.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,704 / 1,481
Deportivo 🇪🇸 / Lugo
RD
255 / 291
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,195-2,214 / 899-2,063
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.80
Fonbet · no value · model 20.0%
X
1.32
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 62.7%
Double chance
12
3.00
Fonbet · weak value +147.9% · model 82.6%
1X
1.09
Fonbet · no value · model 80.0%
X2
7.50
Fonbet · no value · model 37.3%
Handicap
2 0
2.15
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.62
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
9.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.01 99.0% |
| yes | 10.50 9.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 3.00 33.3% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 7.50 13.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 5.80 17.2% | |
| 7.30 13.7% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 2.15 46.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 3.60 27.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Deportivo 🇪🇸
D
W
Deportivo 🇪🇸
0:0
Real Ovedo 🇪🇸
Deportivo 🇪🇸
4:0
Kompostela 🇪🇸
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
4
Points
Lugo
D
Lugo
1:1
Selta (B) 🇪🇸
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDeportivo 🇪🇸 - Lugo
Deportivo 🇪🇸
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Deportivo 🇪🇸 - Lugo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form