Match center
Start
03.07.2026 14:30 UTC
03.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Deutschlandsberger - Kapfenberg
D
Deutschlandsberger
2
:
7
Finished
K
Kapfenberg
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
1Deutschlandsberger — odds 4.50 · edge +9.0% · 12 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deutschlandsberger - Kapfenberg July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kapfenberg.
Line favourite market consensus: Kapfenberg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.15 / X 4.21 / 2 1.59
- 1X2 market: Deutschlandsberger 21.8% / X 21.5% / Kapfenberg 56.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.7%
1
21.8%
X
21.4%
2
56.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 11 books
1
4.00
BetVictor
X
4.33
Bet365
2
1.85
Betano
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Deutschlandsberger
W-D-L 6-1-3
Scored 2.93
Conceded 2.23
xG 2.38
xGA 2.62
Kapfenberg
W-D-L 3-2-5
Scored 1.00
Conceded 1.10
xG 2.08
xGA 1.62
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Deutschlandsberger
Rating 1509
Kapfenberg
Rating 1478
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Deutschlandsberger - Kapfenberg
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.04
Fonbet · line only
X
4.20
market consensus · line only
1
4.14
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1X
8.00
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.12
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.20
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
5.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
9.50
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.78
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 25.0% | 4.39 22.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.50 22.2% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 1.60 62.5% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 2.10 47.6% | 8.00 12.5% |
| x2 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 57.5% | — | |
| — | 5.00 20.0% | |
| 3.10 32.3% | — | |
| — | 2.20 45.5% | |
| — | 1.02 98.0% | |
| — | 3.65 27.4% | |
| — | 1.13 88.5% | |
| — | 6.00 16.7% | |
| — | 1.07 93.5% | |
| — | 2.13 47.0% | |
| — | 4.50 22.2% | |
| — | 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.98 50.5% | 1.12 89.3% | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.31 76.3% | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Kapfenberg
W
Kapfenberg
2:0
Mattersburg SV 2020 🇦🇹
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDeutschlandsberger - Kapfenberg
Deutschlandsberger
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals