Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Differdanzh (Lyuk) - Dyudelanzh (Lyuk)
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Differdanzh (Lyuk): probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
- • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Differdanzh (Lyuk) - Dyudelanzh (Lyuk) July 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 5.60 / 2 3.86
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Differdanzh (Lyuk) - Dyudelanzh (Lyuk)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.20 83.3% | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 3.85 26.0% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 7.40 13.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1.08 92.6% | — | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | — | |
| — | 2.35 42.6% | 2.34 42.7% | |
| — | 5.00 20.0% | — | |
| — | 5.10 19.6% | — | |
| — | 9.50 10.5% | — | |
| 1.38 72.5% | 1.02 98.0% | — | |
| — | 5.90 17.0% | 1.56 64.1% | |
| — | 12.00 8.3% | — | |
| — | 1.52 65.8% | — | |
| — | 1.12 89.3% | — | |
| — | 1.12 89.3% | — | |
| — | 1.02 98.0% | — | |
| 2.80 35.7% | 10.00 10.0% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Over 3 | — | 2.00 50.0% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% | 9.50 10.5% | — |
| Over 4 | — | 3.90 25.6% | — |
| Over 4.5 | — | 7.60 13.2% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.16 46.3% | — | — |
| Under 3 | — | 1.72 58.1% | 1.98 50.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.02 98.0% | — |
| Under 4 | — | 1.20 83.3% | — |
| Under 4.5 | — | 1.04 96.2% | — |
Full head-to-head historyDifferdanzh (Lyuk) - Dyudelanzh (Lyuk)