UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Donaufeld Vena 🇦🇹 - Tsvetl 🇦🇹
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Donaufeld Vena 🇦🇹 — 70%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Xdraw — odds 7.10 · edge +3.8% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Donaufeld Vena 🇦🇹 - Tsvetl 🇦🇹 July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / X 6.40 / 2 8.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Donaufeld Vena 🇦🇹 - Tsvetl 🇦🇹
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.75 36.4% | 2.59 38.6% |
| yes | 1.40 71.4% | 1.46 68.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | — | 1.01 99.0% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 3.80 26.3% | 4.60 21.7% | 3.55 28.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% |
| 8.10 12.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Over 2 | 2.16 46.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 2 | 1.62 61.7% |
Full head-to-head historyDonaufeld Vena 🇦🇹 - Tsvetl 🇦🇹