Match center
Start
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Dukla Prague - Sparta 2 Prague
4
:
2
Finished
S
Sparta 2 Prague
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dukla Prague - Sparta 2 Prague July 11, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dukla Prague.
Line favourite market consensus: Dukla Prague. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.75 / 2 3.64
- 1X2 market: Dukla Prague 50.8% / X 24.2% / Sparta 2 Prague 25.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.0%
1
50.8%
X
24.2%
2
25.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 10 books
1
1.76
Unibet
X
4.50
Marathonbet
2
4.75
Betfair
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dukla Prague
W-D-L 3-4-3
Scored 1.19
Conceded 1.30
xG 1.63
xGA 1.66
Sparta 2 Prague
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.51
Conceded 1.12
xG 1.62
xGA 1.86
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Dukla Prague
Rating 1662
Sparta 2 Prague
Rating 1621
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Dukla Prague
2
:
1
Sparta 2 Prague
11.68
X4.15
24.36
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Dukla Prague - Sparta 2 Prague
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.30
Fonbet · line only
X
4.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.16
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.18
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.20
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.82
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
5.70
Fonbet · line only
2 0
3.20
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.88
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.55
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.15
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.30
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.81 55.3% | |
| X | 3.84 26.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.84 26.0% |
| 3.83 26.1% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.85 26.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.15 31.8% | 2.44 41.0% |
| yes | 1.30 76.9% | 1.51 66.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% |
| x2 | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_11 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_4 | 65.00 1.5% |
Match center
Dukla Prague
D
L
Dukla Prague
2:2
Slovan Liberets 🇨🇿
Dukla Prague
0:2
Mlada-Boleslav 🇨🇿
Mlada-Boleslav 🇨🇿
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
1
Points
Sparta 2 Prague
L
Sparta 2 Prague
1:2
Gradets-Kralove 🇨🇿
Gradets-Kralove 🇨🇿
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDukla Prague - Sparta 2 Prague
Dukla Prague
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals