UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Dyunkerk 🇫🇷 - Valansen 🇫🇷
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Valansen 🇫🇷 — odds 4.16 · edge +8.1% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dyunkerk 🇫🇷 - Valansen 🇫🇷 July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / X 9.50 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Dyunkerk 🇫🇷 - Valansen 🇫🇷
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.09 91.7% | 2.29 43.7% |
| yes | 5.70 17.5% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 9.00 11.1% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.81 35.6% | |
| X | 2.10 47.6% |
| 3.73 26.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.02 49.5% |
Full head-to-head historyDyunkerk 🇫🇷 - Valansen 🇫🇷