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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Ekselsior Massleys 🇳🇱 - TOGB 🇳🇱

Futbol
E
Ekselsior Massleys 🇳🇱
3 : 0
Finished
T
TOGB 🇳🇱

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ekselsior Massleys 🇳🇱 - TOGB 🇳🇱 July 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ekselsior Massleys 🇳🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.88 / X 3.90 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 49.1%
X 23.7%
2 27.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ekselsior Massleys 🇳🇱 1 : 1 TOGB 🇳🇱
11.92
X3.70
23.22

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Ekselsior Massleys 🇳🇱 - TOGB 🇳🇱

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · line only
X 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.27 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.65 37.7%
yes 1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7%
x2 1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.95 33.9%
— — 4.30 23.3%
— — 4.90 20.4%
— — 7.00 14.3%
— — 8.00 12.5%
1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9% —
— — 4.90 20.4%
— — 1.50 66.7%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.16 86.2%
— — 1.13 88.5%
— — 1.05 95.2%
— — 1.04 96.2%
2.73 36.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.50 40.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 0.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 — — 1.14 87.7%
Over 2 — — 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 3 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 3.5 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3%
Over 4 — — 2.75 36.4%
Over 4.5 — — 3.35 29.9%
Over 5 — — 4.90 20.4%
Over 5.5 — — 5.50 18.2%
Under 0.5 — — 11.50 8.7%
Under 1 — — 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 — — 4.70 21.3%
Under 3.5 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% —