UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Elche πͺπΈ - Al-Ain π¦πͺ
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Elche πͺπΈ β 62%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Elche πͺπΈ): model 46% Β· market 62% Ξ β16 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Elche πͺπΈ 61.6%, draw 20.1%, win Al-Ain π¦πͺ 18.3%. Model favourite β Elche πͺπΈ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Elche πͺπΈ: probability 64% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
- • no edge over the line (-15 pp) β informational only
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Elche πͺπΈ - Al-Ain π¦πͺ July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Elche πͺπΈ.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.60 / 2 5.05
- 1X2 market: Elche πͺπΈ 62.1% / X 19.8% / Al-Ain π¦πͺ 18.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction β’ nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Elche πͺπΈ - Al-Ain π¦πͺ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.45 69.0% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 4.65 21.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 4.80 20.8% | 5.51 18.2% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.65 37.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 1_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds Β· 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.3 | 5.4 | 8 |
| Winline | 1.29 | 5.2 | 7.6 |
| Fonbet | 1.3 | 5.4 | 8 |
| Betcity | 1.27 | 5.7 | 7.3 |
Kayzer Chifs πΏπ¦
Full head-to-head historyElche πͺπΈ - Al-Ain π¦πͺ
Match history
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The Elche πͺπΈ - Al-Ain π¦πͺ breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form