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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ

Football
E
Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
- : -
Not started
A
Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ β€” 62%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ): model 46% Β· market 62% Ξ” βˆ’16 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ ✓ Pick61.6%
market62%
X Β· draw20.1%
market20%
2 Β· Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ18.3%
market18%

Model estimate: win Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 61.6%, draw 20.1%, win Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ 18.3%. Model favourite β€” Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ (odds1.26) Score 2:0 confidence 64%
  • Model backs Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ: probability 64% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • no edge over the line (-15 pp) β€” informational only
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ.

Line favourite market consensus: Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.60 / 2 5.05
  • 1X2 market: Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 62.1% / X 19.8% / Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ 18.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 ✓ Pick 62.1%
X 19.8%
2 18.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2 : 3 Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ
11.45
X4.70
26.05

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
πŸ₯Š Humans vs Machines
πŸ“ Math model Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 62%
πŸ’Ή Market Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 6207%
Every pick locked before kickoff Β· public log
Match center

Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 62.6% 61.6% market and model agree
Draw 20.0% 20.1% draw risk
Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ 17.4% 18.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.6% / 20.1% / 18.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,530 / 1,500 Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ / Al-Ain πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ
RD 251 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,027-2,033 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.09 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 18.3%
X 4.62 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.46 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 61.6%
Double chance
12 1.12 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 79.9%
1X 1.11 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 81.7%
X2 2.53 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 38.4%
Handicap
2 +1 2.08 market consensus Β· line only
1 -1 1.70 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.37 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.65 21.5% 5.00 20.0% 4.55 22.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.50 22.2%
4.80 20.8% 5.51 18.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.75 21.1% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5%
x2 2.40 41.7% 2.65 37.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 15.00 6.7%
0_2 26.00 3.9%
0_3 56.00 1.8%
1_0 7.50 13.3%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 31.00 3.2%
1_4 81.00 1.2%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 6.50 15.4%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 76.00 1.3%
3_0 10.00 10.0%
3_1 9.00 11.1%
3_2 15.00 6.7%
3_3 41.00 2.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 7.0 gls
2025-08-02 Β· Elche 3:4 Al-Ayn
Source: ruscore

Odds Β· 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.3 (Pari) Β· X 5.7 (Betcity) Β· 2 8 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.3 5.4 8
Winline 1.29 5.2 7.6
Fonbet 1.3 5.4 8
Betcity 1.27 5.7 7.3
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison
Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
D W
24.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 0:0 Dzhokhor πŸ‡²πŸ‡Ύ
18.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Elche πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Kayzer Chifs πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¦Kayzer Chifs πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¦
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points