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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
03.08.2026 17:00 UTC
03.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Eldence - Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Football
E
Eldence
- : -
Not started
V
Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Eldence go head-to-head with Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” 56%

1 ยท Eldence25.7%
X ยท draw17.8%
2 ยท Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ ✓ Pick56.5%

Model estimate: win Eldence 25.7%, draw 17.8%, win Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 56.5%. Model favourite โ€” Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ (odds3.10) Score 1:2 confidence 52%
  • • Model backs Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ: probability 52% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.10)
  • • edge over the line +20 pp โ€” value pick
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eldence - Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.42 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 35.3%
X 26.8%
2 ✓ Pick 37.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 35.3% @ 2.60 / X 26.8% @ 3.42 / 2 37.9% @ 2.42
Match center

Eldence - Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Form 3/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Eldence 35.3% 25.7%
Draw 26.8% 17.8% draw risk
Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 37.9% 56.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.7% / 17.8% / 56.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,204 / 1,500 Eldence / Vilyarreal (B) ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
RD 248 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 707-1,701 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 market consensus ยท value +36.7% ยท model 56.5%
X 3.42 market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.60 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 25.7%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.65 market consensus ยท line only
2 0 1.80 market consensus ยท line only
1 -0.5 2.20 market consensus ยท line only
1 0 1.94 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.78 56.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.13 32.0%
X 2.27 44.1%
2.94 34.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.60 62.5%
Under 1 2.20 45.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.20 45.5%
1.94 51.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.80 55.6%
Match center
Eldence
W L L
25.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Eldence 3:1 Al-Ittifak ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
22.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Eldence 0:3 Valensiya ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
17.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Eldence 1:2 Milluol ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟMilluol ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points