UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Eupen - Royal Aywaille
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Eupen — 70%
Model estimate: win Eupen 70.1%, draw 14.8%, win Royal Aywaille 15.1%. Model favourite — Eupen.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Eupen - Royal Aywaille July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Now in play
score 2:0 · 60'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
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Eupen - Royal Aywaille
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.18 84.8% |
| yes | 4.10 24.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 9.10 11.0% | 7.80 12.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 2.24 44.6% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.58 63.3% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | 11.00 9.1% | |
| — | 2.80 35.7% | |
| — | 3.10 32.3% | |
| — | 2.25 44.4% | |
| — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | 1.22 82.0% | |
| — | 1.15 87.0% | |
| — | 1.33 75.2% | |
| — | 1.02 98.0% | |
| — | 1.08 92.6% | |
| — | 11.00 9.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 2 | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 3 | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.56 64.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 4 | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.20 45.5% | 3.10 32.3% |
| Over 5 | — | 3.65 27.4% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 6.00 16.7% |
| Over 6 | — | 4.30 23.3% |
| Over 6.5 | — | 7.70 13.0% |
| Under 1.5 | — | 7.60 13.2% |
| Under 2 | — | 6.20 16.1% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 4.50 22.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 2.28 43.9% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.60 62.5% | — |
Full head-to-head historyEupen - Royal Aywaille
Match history
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form