UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Bishops Cleeve
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 49%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 46% ยท market 51% ฮ โ5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 49.3%, draw 23.8%, win Bishops Cleeve 26.9%. Model favourite โ Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 54% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
- • no edge over the line (-1 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Bishops Cleeve July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.84 / 2 3.71
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Eveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Bishops Cleeve
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.54 39.4% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% |
| x2 | 1.73 57.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.32 43.1% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 4.04 24.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.24 80.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.61 27.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Cheltenkhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Kaerau Eli ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ
Full head-to-head historyEveskhem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Bishops Cleeve
Match history
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