Match center
Start
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Excelsior - Cambuur
E
Excelsior
3
:
2
Finished
C
Cambuur
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Excelsior - Cambuur July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Excelsior. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / X 12.00 / 2 2.95
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 34.0%
1
68.5%
X
6.2%
2
25.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Excelsior - Cambuur
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.86
market consensus · line only
X
3.68
market consensus · line only
1
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
5.70
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.95
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
4.80
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.19
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.23
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.60
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.85
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.20 83.3% | 2.59 38.6% |
| yes | 3.85 26.0% | 1.46 68.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 5.70 17.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.68 37.3% | |
| X | 2.26 44.3% |
| 3.51 28.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyExcelsior - Cambuur
Excelsior
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals