UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Farnborough - Portsmouth
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Portsmouth — 68%
Pure model vs market (2 · Portsmouth): model 35% · market 65% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Farnborough 13.2%, draw 18.6%, win Portsmouth 68.2%. Model favourite — Portsmouth.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Farnboro 🏴: probability 51% vs 12% on the line (odds 8.25)
- • edge over the line +39 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Farnborough - Portsmouth July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.20 / X 5.00 / 2 1.66
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Farnborough - Portsmouth
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.67 37.5% |
| yes | 1.44 69.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 3.30 30.3% |
| x2 | 1.04 96.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.82 26.2% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% |
| 2.09 47.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.01 24.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
Aldershot Taun 🏴
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers 🏴
Aldershot Taun 🏴
Uoking 🏴
Full head-to-head historyFarnborough - Portsmouth
Match history
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The Farnborough - Portsmouth breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form