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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Farnborough - Portsmouth

Football

Farnborough

- : -

Not started

Portsmouth

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Portsmouth — 68%

Pure model vs market (2 · Portsmouth): model 35% · market 70% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Farnborough13.2%

market11%

X · draw18.6%

market18%

2 · Portsmouth ✓ Pick68.2%

market70%

Model estimate: win Farnborough 13.2%, draw 18.6%, win Portsmouth 68.2%. Model favourite — Portsmouth.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Farnborough (odds8.25) Score 2:1 confidence 51%

• Model backs Farnboro 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 51% vs 12% on the line (odds 8.25)
• edge over the line +39 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Farnborough - Portsmouth July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Portsmouth. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.20 / X 5.00 / 2 1.31

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%

1 11.2%

X 18.4%

2 ✓ Pick 70.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Farnborough - Portsmouth

Form 3/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Farnborough 11.3% 13.2%

Draw 18.4% 18.6% draw risk

Portsmouth 70.4% 68.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 13.2% / 18.6% / 68.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,530 / 1,559 Farnborough / Portsmouth

RD 240 / 196 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,049-2,010 / 1,167-1,951 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 68.2%

X 4.98 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 8.10 market consensus · no value · model 13.2%

Double chance

12 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 81.4%

1X 3.30 market consensus · no value · model 31.8%

X2 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 86.8%

Both teams to score

No 2.12 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.12 47.2%
yes	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.13 88.5%
1x	3.30 30.3%
x2	1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	6.80 14.7%
X	2.55 39.2%
	1.78 56.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5	2.08 48.1%
Under 0.5	4.01 24.9%
Under 1.5	1.67 59.9%

Match center

Farnborough

L L W

18.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Farnborough 1:2 Aldershot Taun 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

11.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Farnborough 1:2 Reding 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Farnborough 3:1 Cobham 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.7 Scored

1.7 Conceded

3 Points

Portsmouth

L D L W

25.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Portsmouth 1:3 Uikomb Uondererz 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

18.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Portsmouth 1:1 Bristol Rovers 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

15.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Portsmouth 0:2 Aldershot Taun 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

14.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Portsmouth 2:1 Uoking 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

1 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFarnborough - Portsmouth

Farnborough

0 matches total

Portsmouth

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Farnborough - Portsmouth

AI match prediction Farnborough - Portsmouth July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

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Farnborough - Portsmouth

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history