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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
31.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 - TSV Steinbach

Football
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2
- : -
Not started
T
TSV Steinbach
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 TSV Steinbach50%

Pure model vs market (2 · TSV Steinbach): model 29% · market 51% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fortuna Dusseldorf 227.1%
X · draw22.7%
2 · TSV Steinbach50.2%

Model estimate: win Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 27.1%, draw 22.7%, win TSV Steinbach 50.2%. Model favourite — TSV Steinbach.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 (odds3.34) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • Model backs Fortuna II 🇩🇪: probability 52% vs 30% on the line (odds 3.34)
  • edge over the line +22 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 - TSV Steinbach July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like TSV Steinbach.

Line favourite market consensus: TSV Steinbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.54 / X 3.91 / 2 1.76
  • 1X2 market: Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 25.6% / X 23.0% / TSV Steinbach 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 25.5%
X 23.1%
2 51.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.50 ↑ 3.80
1X2 X 4.20 ↑ 4.40
1X2 P2 1.80 ↓ 1.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 2 : 2 TSV Steinbach
13.94
X4.10
21.66

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 10:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model TSV Steinbach 50%
💹 Market TSV Steinbach 5134%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 - TSV Steinbach

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 25.6% 27.1%
Draw 22.8% 22.7% draw risk
TSV Steinbach 51.6% 50.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.1% / 22.7% / 50.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,651 / 1,555 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 / TSV Steinbach
RD 251 / 207 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,150-2,153 / 1,141-1,970 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 50.2%
X 4.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.80 Fonbet · no value · model 27.1%
Double chance
12 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 77.3%
1X 2.02 Fonbet · no value · model 49.8%
X2 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 72.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Pinnacle
3.68 27.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.62 27.6% 3.35 29.9%
X 3.96 25.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.96 25.3% 4.03 24.8%
1.73 57.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.35 42.6% 2.47 40.5%
yes 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
1x 1.82 55.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
x2 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 9.50 10.5%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_11 100.00 1.0%
0_2 9.00 11.1%
0_3 13.00 7.7%
0_4 23.00 4.4%
0_5 55.00 1.8%
0_6 80.00 1.3%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 13.00 7.7%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 10.00 10.0%
1_4 17.00 5.9%
Match center
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2
D W
19.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 3:3 Khomberg 🇩🇪
15.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 4:1 SC St.Tonis 🇩🇪SC St.Tonis 🇩🇪
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
TSV Steinbach
L W W L
25.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
TSV Steinbach 2:8 Zigen 🇩🇪
18.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
TSV Steinbach 1:0 Shalke II 🇩🇪
11.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
TSV Steinbach 3:2 Fortuna Keln 🇩🇪Fortuna Keln 🇩🇪
05.07 08:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
TSV Steinbach 0:5 Viktoriya Keln 🇩🇪
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
3.8 Conceded
6 Points