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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Galatasaray - Rennais

Football
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
- : -
Not started
R
Rennais

Galatasaray meet Rennais on August 2, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Galatasaray 2-0-3, Rennais 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Galatasaray50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Galatasaray): model 35% · market 51% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Galatasaray49.9%
X · draw23.0%
2 · Rennais27.0%

Model estimate: win Galatasaray 49.9%, draw 23.0%, win Rennais 27.0%. Model favourite — Galatasaray.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rennais (odds3.48) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Renn 🇫🇷: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.48)
  • edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Galatasaray - Rennais August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Galatasaray. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / X 4.05 / 2 3.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 50.9%
X 23.3%
2 25.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.87 ↓ 1.85
1X2 X 3.95 ↑ 4.05
1X2 P2 3.60 ↑ 3.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Galatasaray
#12370 ptsGP 20-0-20:5
Rennais
#4563 ptsGP 11-0-02:1
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Galatasaray
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.57 Conceded 1.76 xG 2.14 xGA 1.18 Corners 5.0
Rennais
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.46 Conceded 1.42 xG 1.75 xGA 1.13

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Galatasaray
Rating 1545
Rennais
Rating 1629

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 50.9% @ 1.85 / X 23.3% @ 4.05 / 2 25.8% @ 3.65
Match center

Galatasaray - Rennais

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Galatasaray 50.9% 49.9% market and model agree
Draw 23.1% 23.0% draw risk
Rennais 26.0% 27.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.9% / 23.0% / 27.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,440 / 1,631 Galatasaray / Rennais
RD 226 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 988-1,893 / 1,192-2,070 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.65 Fonbet · no value · model 27.0%
X 4.05 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 49.9%
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 77.0%
1X 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 73.0%
X2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 50.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.58 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.50 40.0% 2.54 39.4%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.31 43.3%
X 2.40 41.7%
3.99 25.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Galatasaray
L L W L W
2026-07-27 Club Friendly Games 2026
Galatasaray Galatasaray 0:3 Venezia
2026-07-24 Club Friendly Games 2026
Galatasaray Galatasaray 0:2 Monza
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Galatasaray Umraniyespor 1:5 Galatasaray
2026-05-17 Super Lig 25/26
Galatasaray Kasimpasa SK 1:0 Galatasaray
2026-05-09 Super Lig 25/26
Galatasaray Galatasaray 4:2 Antalyaspor
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Rennais
W W L L W
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Rennais 2:1 Brugge Rennais
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Rennais 3:1 Guingamp Rennais
2026-07-09 Club Friendly Games 2026
Rennais 1:2 SM Caen Rennais
2026-05-17 Ligue 1 25/26
Marseille 3:1 Rennais Rennais
2026-05-10 Ligue 1 25/26
Rennais 2:1 Paris FC Rennais
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGalatasaray - Rennais

Galatasaray
0 matches total
Rennais
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history