UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Gateshead - South Shields
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Gateshead — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gateshead): model 52% · market 40% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Gateshead 40.6%, draw 24.7%, win South Shields 34.7%. Model favourite — Gateshead.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Geytskhed 🏴: probability 57% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gateshead - South Shields July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.70 / 2 2.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Gateshead - South Shields
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.62 38.2% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.44 69.4% |
| x2 | 1.57 63.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.84 35.2% | |
| X | 2.33 42.9% |
| 3.14 31.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.22 45.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.1 |
| Winline | 2.04 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
| Fonbet | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.1 |
| Betcity | 2.03 | 3.7 | 3 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.06 | 3.6 | 3.05 |
Khebbern Taun 🏴
Kharrogeyt 🏴
Full head-to-head historyGateshead - South Shields
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form