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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Genk - Twente

Football
Genk
Genk
- : -
Finished
Twente
Twente

Genk take on Twente on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Genk 2-0-3, Twente 1-2-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Genk46%

Pure model vs market (1 · Genk): model 43% · market 47% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Genk45.7%
X · draw24.7%
2 · Twente29.5%

Model estimate: win Genk 45.7%, draw 24.7%, win Twente 29.5%. Model favourite — Genk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Genk (odds2.00) Score 1:0 Under 3 (odds1.90) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.55) confidence 50%
  • Model backs Genk 🇧🇪: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0
  • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • at line 3 (odds 1.90)
  • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.55).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genk - Twente August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Genk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.98 / X 3.90 / 2 3.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 47.2%
X 24.0%
2 28.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.00 ↓ 1.98
1X2 X 3.85 ↑ 3.90
1X2 P2 3.25 → 3.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Genk
#12580 ptsGP 20-0-20:8
Twente
#3123 ptsGP 11-0-03:0
Best price across 9 books
1 2.03 1xBet
X 3.95 Dafabet
2 3.25 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Genk
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.71 Conceded 2.13 xG 1.66 xGA 1.46
Twente
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 1.71 Conceded 0.72 xG 1.78 xGA 1.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Genk
Rating 1610
Twente
Rating 1937

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 47.2% @ 1.98 / X 24.0% @ 3.90 / 2 28.8% @ 3.25
Match center

Genk - Twente

football, Genk - Tvente, 2 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Genk - Tvente, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Genk 45.9% 45.7% market and model agree
Draw 24.9% 24.7% draw risk
Twente 29.2% 29.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 45.7% / 24.7% / 29.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,613 / 1,649 Genk / Twente
RD 171 / 161 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,271-1,955 / 1,328-1,970 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 Fonbet · no value · model 29.5%
X 3.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.98 Fonbet · no value · model 45.7%
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 75.3%
1X 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 70.5%
X2 1.78 Fonbet · no value · model 54.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
x2 1.61 62.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.51 39.8%
X 2.34 42.7%
3.66 27.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.21 45.3%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Genk
W L L L W
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Genk Genk 3:1 Oss
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Genk Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 Genk
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Genk AZ Alkmaar 4:0 Genk
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Genk Falkirk 1:0 Genk
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Genk Motherwell 3:4 Genk
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
6 Points
Twente
D W L D L
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Ferencvaros 2:2 Twente Twente
2026-07-24 Club Friendly Games 2026
Emmen 0:3 Twente Twente
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Twente 1:2 Ferencvaros Twente
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Twente 2:2 Gent Twente
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Twente 0:2 Gent Twente
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenk - Twente

Genk
0 matches total
Twente
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Genk
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Twente
Genk Team comparison Twente
1 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
4 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
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Genk Tvente 1 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 Scored 0 4 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Yess Torup Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 44% 0% 56% Double chance 22% 50% 28% Materialy po prognozam V Krasnodare budut zabivat posle pereryva, v Genke – khozyaeva CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330894' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Friendlies (kluby) — 2026 Turnirnaya Standings