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World: Club Friendlies

28.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

World: Club Friendlies

Gent U23 🇧🇪 - Maastricht

Football

Gent U23 🇧🇪

- : -

Finished

Maastricht

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gent U23 🇧🇪 — 58%

1 · Gent U23 🇧🇪 ✓ Pick58.3%

market72%

X · draw18.0%

market22%

2 · Maastricht23.7%

market6%

Model estimate: win Gent U23 🇧🇪 58.3%, draw 18.0%, win Maastricht 23.7%. Model favourite — Gent U23 🇧🇪.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gent U23 🇧🇪 (odds2.12) Score 2:1 confidence 58%

• Model backs Gent U23 🇧🇪: probability 58% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
• edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gent U23 🇧🇪 - Maastricht July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gent U23 🇧🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / X 4.30 / 2 15.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 ✓ Pick 72.3%

X 21.5%

2 6.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gent U23 🇧🇪 1 : 3 Maastricht

12.24

X3.52

22.61

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:0 · 74'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

74'

72% 22% 6%

Gent U23 🇧🇪 (1) Draw (X) Maastricht (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Gent U23 🇧🇪 - Maastricht

Form 1/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Gent U23 🇧🇪 39.9% 58.3% market and model agree

Draw 25.6% 18.0% draw risk

Maastricht 34.5% 23.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 58.3% / 18.0% / 23.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,660 / 1,544 Gent U23 🇧🇪 / Maastricht

RD 273 / 197 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,113-2,207 / 1,150-1,937 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.66 market consensus · no value · model 23.7%

X 4.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 58.3%

Double chance

12 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 82.0%

1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 76.3%

X2 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 41.7%

Handicap

2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.60 Fonbet · line only

2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 4.70 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.40 71.4%	2.89 34.6%
yes	2.75 36.4%	1.38 72.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.19 84.0%
1x	1.03 97.1%
x2	3.35 29.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.80 35.7%
X	2.33 42.9%
	3.19 31.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.09 47.9%
Under 1.5	1.66 60.2%

Match center

Gent U23 🇧🇪

18.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Gent U23 🇧🇪 3:2 Franks Bora 🇧🇪

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Maastricht

L D D D W

25.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Maastricht 3:4 Beveren 🇧🇪

21.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Maastricht 2:2 EVV 🇳🇱

18.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Maastricht 0:0 Rasing Luxembourg (Lyuk)

14.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Maastricht 0:0 Seren 🇧🇪

12.07 08:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Maastricht 4:1 Viktoriya Keln 🇩🇪

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGent U23 🇧🇪 - Maastricht

Gent U23 🇧🇪

0 matches total

Maastricht

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Gent U23 🇧🇪 - Maastricht

AI match prediction Gent U23 🇧🇪 - Maastricht July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Score prediction

Now in play

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

Buy the full AI analysis

Gent U23 🇧🇪 - Maastricht

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history