Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Arsenal — 49%
Pure model vs market (2 · Arsenal): model 32% · market 49% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Girona 25.4%, draw 26.0%, win Arsenal 48.5%. Model favourite — Arsenal.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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football, Zhirona - Arsenal, 1 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Zhirona - Arsenal, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.08 48.1% | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| x2 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.57 21.9% | |
| X | 2.13 47.0% |
| 2.43 41.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
Full head-to-head historyGirona - Arsenal
Zhirona Arsenal 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 15% 24% 61% Double chance 20% 37% 43% Materialy po prognozam Segodnya «PSZh» and «Arsenal» voydut v istoriyu «PSZh» — «Arsenal»: Safonov stanet dvukratnym Ne Safonov, no Khvicha! Vybiraem glavnogo geroya final «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nikakogo otkrytogo futbola! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nu, davay, napaday! Pochemu match «Atletiko» — «Arsenal» prevratitsya v mem V «Barsu» veryat, v «Liverpul» and «Real» — net. Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov? Arteta and zdes lider, «Barsa» blizka k stykam. Rasklady na poslednie tury Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Arsenal». Prichina, po kotoroy Arteta vyletit iz Ligi chempionov CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments[
The Girona - Arsenal breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
