Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Girona - Sabadell
Girona face Sabadell on August 7, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Girona 1-2-2, Sabadell 2-1-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Girona — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Girona): model 40% · market 60% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Girona 58.6%, draw 23.5%, win Sabadell 17.9%. Model favourite — Girona.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Zhirona 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.52)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Girona - Sabadell August 7, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 3.95 / 2 5.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Girona - Sabadell
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| X | 2.35 42.6% |
| 5.60 17.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.08 48.1% |
Odds · 3 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.5 | 3.95 | 6.2 |
| Fonbet | 1.5 | 3.95 | 6.2 |
| Betcity | 1.55 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
Girona
Sabadell
Full head-to-head historyGirona - Sabadell
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Girona - Sabadell breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form