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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Girona - Sabadell

Football
Girona
Girona
- : -
Not started
Sabadell
Sabadell

Girona face Sabadell on August 7, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Girona 1-2-2, Sabadell 2-1-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Girona59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Girona): model 40% · market 60% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Girona58.6%
market60%
X · draw23.5%
market24%
2 · Sabadell17.9%
market17%

Model estimate: win Girona 58.6%, draw 23.5%, win Sabadell 17.9%. Model favourite — Girona.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Girona (odds2.52) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Zhirona 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.52)
  • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Sabadell August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 3.95 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5% 2 books
1 59.8%
X 23.6%
2 16.6%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.55 → 1.55
1X2 X 3.80 ↑ 3.95
1X2 P2 5.90 ↓ 5.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Girona
#8501 ptsGP 30-1-24:8
Sabadell
#1555 ptsGP 31-2-03:2
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Girona
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.86 Conceded 1.88 xG 1.54 xGA 1.25
Sabadell
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 0.88 Conceded 1.03 xG 0.68 xGA 1.74 Corners 4.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Girona
Rating 1529
Sabadell
Rating 1655

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Girona
60%
1.55
Draw
24%
3.95
Sabadell
17%
5.60
Total
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Under 2.5
47%
2.00
Both teams to score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Girona 1 : 1 Sabadell
11.36
X4.48
26.65

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 59.7% @ 1.55 / X 23.4% @ 3.95 / 2 16.8% @ 5.50
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Girona 59%
💹 Market Girona 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Girona - Sabadell

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Girona 59.8% 58.6% market and model agree
Draw 23.6% 23.5% draw risk
Sabadell 16.6% 17.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.6% / 23.5% / 17.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,388 / 1,476 Girona / Sabadell
RD 206 / 209 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 975-1,800 / 1,059-1,894 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · no value · model 17.9%
X 3.95 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 58.6%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 76.5%
1X 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 82.1%
X2 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 41.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.82 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.11 90.1%
x2 2.30 43.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.02 49.5%
X 2.35 42.6%
5.60 17.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.67 59.9%
Under 1 2.08 48.1%
Match center

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.55 (Betcity) · X 3.95 (Pari) · 2 6.2 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.5 3.95 6.2
Fonbet 1.5 3.95 6.2
Betcity 1.55 3.7 5.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Girona
L D L W D
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Girona Girona 1:4 Arsenal
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Girona Girona 3:3 Castellon
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Girona Girona 0:1 Alaves
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Girona Olot 1:3 Girona
2026-05-23 LaLiga 25/26
Girona Girona 1:1 Elche
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Sabadell
W D L W L
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Sabadell 2:1 Manresa Sabadell
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Espanyol 1:1 Sabadell Sabadell
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Castellon 2:0 Sabadell Sabadell
2026-06-19 Primera Federacion 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Sabadell 4:0 Zamora Sabadell
2026-06-13 Primera Federacion 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Zamora 1:0 Sabadell Sabadell
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Sabadell

Girona
0 matches total
Sabadell
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history