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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Greenock Morton - Stranrar 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Futbol
G
Greenock Morton
0 : 0
Finished
S
Stranrar 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Greenock Morton - Stranrar 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.50 / X 1.09 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 8.7%
X 84.2%
2 7.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Greenock Morton - Stranrar 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.91 market consensus · line only
X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.94 51.6%
yes 10.50 9.5% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.21 82.6% 5.80 17.2%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.78 56.2% 1.96 51.0% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.22 45.1%
X 2.27 44.1%
4.80 20.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.72 58.1%
Over 1.5 2.37 42.2%
Under 1 2.01 49.8%
Under 1.5 1.52 65.8%