Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
12.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡·

Futbol
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
1 : 3
Finished
Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡·

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡· July 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡·. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.40 / X 3.75 / 2 1.92

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 27.2%
X 24.7%
2 48.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 1 : 1 Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
13.47
X3.71
21.81

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡·

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.92 Fonbet Β· line only
X 3.75 Fonbet Β· line only
1 3.40 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.78 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 1.27 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.09 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 2.60 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 1.48 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 5.70 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.68 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.78 56.2%
x2 1.27 78.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.43 69.9%
1.28 78.1%
1.08 92.6%
1.06 94.3%
5.70 17.5%
6.40 15.6%
2.45 40.8%
2.60 38.5%
3.20 31.3%
6.10 16.4%
6.90 14.5%
1.09 91.7%
1.07 93.5%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 1 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 2 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 3 2.25 44.4%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4 4.30 23.3%
Over 4.5 4.90 20.4%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1 7.70 13.0%
Under 1.5 3.85 26.0%
Under 2 3.00 33.3%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 3 1.57 63.7%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4 1.17 85.5%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
L
04.07 20:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 1:2 Shapekoense πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
W
04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Kruzeyro πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 2:0 Defensor Sporting πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Ύ
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points