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28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Lincoln City
G
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
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:
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Not started
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Lincoln City โ 58%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Lincoln City): model 27% ยท market 59% ฮ โ32 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 20.0%, draw 22.3%, win Lincoln City 57.7%. Model favourite โ Lincoln City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Lincoln City (odds1.45)
Score 1:2
confidence 56%
- • Model backs Linkoln ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 56% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
- • no edge over the line (-13 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Lincoln City July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lincoln City.
Line favourite market consensus: Lincoln City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.02 / X 4.04 / 2 1.53
- 1X2 market: Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 18.2% / X 22.5% / Lincoln City 59.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.0%
1
18.1%
X
22.5%
2
59.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
5.90
โ 5.90
1X2 X
4.20
โ 4.20
1X2 P2
1.48
โ 1.48
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1
:
1
Lincoln City
15.20
X4.20
21.57
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Lincoln City 58%
๐น Market
Lincoln City 5929%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Lincoln City
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
18.0%
20.0%
Draw
22.3%
22.3%
draw risk
Lincoln City
59.7%
57.7%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
20.0% / 22.3% / 57.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,690 / 1,566
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ / Lincoln City
RD
216 / 248
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,258-2,123 / 1,071-2,061
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.48
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 57.7%
X
4.20
Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
5.90
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 20.0%
Double chance
12
1.19
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 77.7%
1X
2.45
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 42.3%
X2
1.10
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 80.0%
Handicap
2 -1
1.94
market consensus ยท line only
2 +1
1.77
Fonbet ยท line only
1 +1
1.93
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.70
Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.02
Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
1.95
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.79
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.40 18.5% | 5.25 19.1% | 4.50 22.2% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.10 47.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.45 40.8% |
| x2 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.10 90.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 0_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_3 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_4 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_5 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_6 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_3 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_4 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_5 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_6 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 1-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2025-07-22 ยท Grimsbi Taun 2:1 Linkoln Siti
2024-10-08 ยท Grimsbi Taun 1:2 Linkoln Siti
Source: ruscore
Odds ยท 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 5.9 (Pari) ยท X 4.2 (Pari) ยท 2 1.51 (Winline)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 5.9 | 4.2 | 1.48 |
| Winline | 5.2 | 4.1 | 1.51 |
| Fonbet | 5.9 | 4.2 | 1.48 |
| Betcity | 5.7 | 4.2 | 1.46 |
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
W
D
D
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
3:0
Khartlpul Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Khartlpul Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1:1
Zarya ๐บ๐ฆ
Zarya ๐บ๐ฆ
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0:0
Klitorps ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.3
Scored
0.3
Conceded
5
Points
Lincoln City
L
W
Lincoln City
0:2
Leyton Orient ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Lincoln City
3:1
Boston Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Boston Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGrimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Lincoln City
Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Grimsbi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Lincoln City breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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