Match center
Start
03.07.2026 15:00 UTC
03.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Heerenveen - De Graafschap
H
Heerenveen
7
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Heerenveen - De Graafschap July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Heerenveen.
Line favourite market consensus: Heerenveen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.30 / 2 4.32
- 1X2 market: Heerenveen 57.7% / X 21.2% / De Graafschap 21.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.7%
1
57.7%
X
21.2%
2
21.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 12 books
1
1.62
Unibet
X
4.70
Dafabet
2
5.24
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Heerenveen
W-D-L 4-4-2
Scored 2.38
Conceded 1.57
xG 1.57
xGA 1.48
De Graafschap
W-D-L 4-3-3
Scored 2.21
Conceded 2.19
xG 1.23
xGA 1.91
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Heerenveen
Rating 1655
De Graafschap
Rating 1727
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Heerenveen - De Graafschap
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.70
Fonbet · line only
X
4.70
Fonbet · line only
1
1.53
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.15
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.15
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.95
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
6.40
Fonbet · line only
2 0
3.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.88
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.82
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.05
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 4.20 23.8% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.33 23.1% |
| 4.20 23.8% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.60 21.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.05 32.8% | 2.84 35.2% |
| yes | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.06 94.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.35 42.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | |
| X | 2.63 38.0% |
| 4.67 21.4% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHeerenveen - De Graafschap
Heerenveen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals