Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Hercules meet Castellon on August 7, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Hercules 2-2-1, Castellon 2-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Castellon — 50%
Model estimate: win Hercules 30.8%, draw 19.0%, win Castellon 50.2%. Model favourite — Castellon.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.13 47.0% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.41 70.9% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.49 67.1% |
| x2 | 1.37 73.0% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 2.25 44.4% |
| 3.00 33.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
| Winline | 2.55 | 3.4 | 2.44 |
| Fonbet | 2.6 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
| Betcity | 2.55 | 3.4 | 2.42 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.55 | 3.4 | 2.47 |
Full head-to-head historyHercules - Castellon
The Hercules - Castellon breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
