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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

HNK Gorica - Zorya

Football
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
2 : 1
Finished
Zorya
Zorya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HNK Gorica - Zorya July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like HNK Gorica.

Line favourite market consensus: HNK Gorica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.33 / 2 2.89
  • 1X2 market: HNK Gorica 41.6% / X 27.1% / Zorya 31.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 41.6%
X 27.1%
2 31.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

HNK Gorica
No recent matches
Zorya
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

HNK Gorica - Zorya

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.91 market consensus · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.15 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.20 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.10 47.6% 2.27 44.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
2.85 35.1% 2.97 33.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.43 69.9% 2.29 43.7%
yes 2.65 37.7% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.32 75.8% 3.15 31.8%
x2 1.51 66.2% 1.64 61.0% 5.70 17.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.82 35.5%
X 2.16 46.3%
3.54 28.3%
Match center
Zorya
D
30.06 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Zorya 2:2 Shkendiya 79 (Mak)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHNK Gorica - Zorya

HNK Gorica
0 matches total
Zorya
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history