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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Ingolstadt 04 - Aykhshtet 🇩🇪

Football
I
Ingolstadt 04
2 : 0
Finished
A
Aykhshtet 🇩🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ingolstadt 04 - Aykhshtet 🇩🇪 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ingolstadt 04.

Line favourite market consensus: Ingolstadt 04. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.47 / 2 5.78
  • 1X2 market: Ingolstadt 04 64.1% / X 20.2% / Aykhshtet 🇩🇪 15.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 64.1%
X 20.2%
2 15.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Ingolstadt 04
No recent matches
Aykhshtet 🇩🇪
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Ingolstadt 04 - Aykhshtet 🇩🇪

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.78 market consensus · line only
X 7.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.44 69.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.10 24.4% 4.25 23.5% 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7%
5.25 19.1% 6.71 14.9% 5.50 18.2% 5.40 18.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.18 84.8%
yes 4.10 24.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 11.00 9.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.03 97.1%
2.20 45.5%
2.10 47.6%
3.50 28.6%
3.35 29.9%
5.80 17.2%
8.00 12.5%
12.00 8.3%
2.45 40.8%
8.50 11.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.25 80.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.09 91.7%
1.04 96.2%
11.50 8.7%
Match center
Aykhshtet 🇩🇪
L
01.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Aykhshtet 🇩🇪 1:3 Khemi Leyptsig 🇩🇪
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points