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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
07.08.2026 08:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 08:00 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

Football
I
Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
- : -
Not started
V
Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ go head-to-head with Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ on August 7, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Full analysis β€” form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction β€” follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ β€” 40%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ): model 44% Β· market 40% Ξ” +4 pp model estimates above the market

1 Β· Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ39.9%
X Β· draw25.5%
2 Β· Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ34.6%

Model estimate: win Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 39.9%, draw 25.5%, win Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 34.6%. Model favourite β€” Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ (odds2.25) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp β€” value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.50 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 13.7% 2 books Β· best price +1.4%
1 39.6%
X 25.7%
2 34.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 39.9% @ 2.25 / X 25.6% @ 3.50 / 2 34.5% @ 2.60
Match center

Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 39.6% 39.9% market and model agree
Draw 25.7% 25.5% draw risk
Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 34.7% 34.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.9% / 25.5% / 34.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Intersiti πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ / Vilyarreal (B) πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.54 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 34.6%
X 3.43 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.22 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 39.9%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 74.5%
1X 1.44 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 65.4%
X2 1.57 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 60.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.92 market consensus Β· line only
1 0 1.69 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.44 69.4%
x2 1.57 63.7%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6%
2.00 50.0% 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 2.5 2.30 43.5% —
Over 3 — 1.68 59.5%
Over 4.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Under 2.5 1.55 64.5% —
Under 3 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 4.5 — 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9%
2.60 38.5% 2.47 40.5%