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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
03.08.2026 18:45 UTC
03.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Ipswich - Le Havre

Football
I
Ipswich
- : -
Not started
L
Le Havre

Ipswich face Le Havre on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ipswich 0-0-1, Le Havre 1-1-1. Full analysis โ€” form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction โ€” follows on this page.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ipswich โ€” 50%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Ipswich): model 48% ยท market 51% ฮ” โˆ’3 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Ipswich49.8%
X ยท draw24.5%
2 ยท Le Havre25.6%

Model estimate: win Ipswich 49.8%, draw 24.5%, win Le Havre 25.6%. Model favourite โ€” Ipswich.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ipswich (odds1.83) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Ipsvich Taun ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) โ€” informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ipswich - Le Havre August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ipswich. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.80 / 2 3.92

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 50.7%
X 25.1%
2 24.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Ipswich
#5813 ptsGP 31-0-23:5
Le Havre
#2184 ptsGP 21-1-03:2
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ipswich
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.75 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.58 xGA 1.23
Le Havre
W-D-L 1-5-4 Scored 0.78 Conceded 1.41 xG 1.28 xGA 1.32

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ipswich
Rating 1780
Le Havre
Rating 1485

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 50.7% @ 1.88 / X 25.1% @ 3.80 / 2 24.3% @ 3.92
Match center

Ipswich - Le Havre

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ipswich 49.9% 49.8% market and model agree
Draw 24.7% 24.5% draw risk
Le Havre 25.4% 25.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.8% / 24.5% / 25.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,432 Ipsvich Taun ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ / Gavr ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
RD 350 / 216 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 999-1,864 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.74 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 25.6%
X 3.73 market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.83 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 49.8%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 75.5%
1X 1.23 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 74.4%
X2 1.83 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 50.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus ยท line only
2 0 2.78 market consensus ยท line only
1 -1 2.48 market consensus ยท line only
1 0 1.40 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.09 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.09 47.9%
yes 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.34 42.7%
X 2.22 45.1%
4.51 22.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.03 49.3%
Match center
Ipswich
L
30.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Ipswich 1:2 Osasuna ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Le Havre
D W L
31.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Le Havre 1:1 Laval ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทLaval ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
25.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Le Havre 2:1 Red Star 93 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
17.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Le Havre 1:2 Amen ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIpswich - Le Havre

Ipswich
0 matches total
Le Havre
Biggest win โ€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match โ€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Match history