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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Ipswich Town - Le Havre

Football
I
Ipswich Town
- : -
Not started
L
Le Havre

Ipswich Town meet Le Havre on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ipswich Town 2-1-2, Le Havre 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Ipswich Town the favourite at about 50%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ipswich Town50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ipswich Town): model 48% · market 50% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Ipswich Town50.3%
X · draw24.9%
2 · Le Havre24.8%

Model estimate: win Ipswich Town 50.3%, draw 24.9%, win Le Havre 24.8%. Model favourite — Ipswich Town.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ipswich Town (odds1.83) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Ipsvich Taun 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ipswich Town - Le Havre August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ipswich Town.

Line favourite market consensus: Ipswich Town. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.60 / 2 3.76
  • 1X2 market: Ipswich Town 50.0% / X 25.6% / Le Havre 24.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8% 15 books · best price +2.2%
1 50.1%
X 25.1%
2 24.8%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.85 ↑ 1.87
1X2 X 3.65 ↑ 3.70
1X2 P2 3.75 ↑ 3.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Ipswich Town
#5813 ptsGP 31-0-23:5
Le Havre
#2184 ptsGP 21-1-03:2
Best price across 11 books
1 1.87 Superbet
X 3.75 Betfair
2 4.05 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ipswich Town
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.75 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.58 xGA 1.23
Le Havre
W-D-L 1-5-4 Scored 0.78 Conceded 1.41 xG 1.28 xGA 1.32

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ipswich Town
Rating 1780
Le Havre
Rating 1485

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ipswich Town 1 : 1 Le Havre
11.85
X3.60
24.03

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 50.0% @ 1.84 / X 25.5% @ 3.60 / 2 24.5% @ 3.76
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Ipswich Town 50%
💹 Market Ipswich Town 4999%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ipswich Town - Le Havre

football, Ipsvich Taun - Gavr, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Ipsvich Taun - Gavr, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ipswich Town 50.5% 50.3% market and model agree
Draw 25.1% 24.9% draw risk
Le Havre 24.5% 24.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.3% / 24.9% / 24.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,432 Ipswich Town / Le Havre
RD 350 / 216 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 999-1,864 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.85 Fonbet · no value · model 24.8%
X 3.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.87 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 75.1%
1X 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 75.2%
X2 1.88 Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.62 27.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.50 28.6%
3.45 29.0% 4.03 24.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 10.00 10.0%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 81.00 1.2%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 6.00 16.7%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 23.00 4.4%
1_4 61.00 1.6%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 12.00 8.3%
3_2 19.00 5.3%
Match center
Ipswich Town
L W L W D
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Ipswich Town Oxford United 2:0 Ipswich Town
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Ipswich Town Wycombe Wanderers 1:2 Ipswich Town
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1:2 Osasuna
2026-05-02 Championship 25/26
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3:0 QPR
2026-04-28 Championship 25/26
Ipswich Town Southampton 2:2 Ipswich Town
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Le Havre
W L W L D
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Le Havre 2:1 Red Star Le Havre
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Le Havre 1:2 Amiens Le Havre
2026-05-17 Ligue 1 25/26
Lorient 0:2 Le Havre Le Havre
2026-05-10 Ligue 1 25/26
Le Havre 0:1 Marseille Le Havre
2026-05-03 Ligue 1 25/26
Lille 1:1 Le Havre Le Havre
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIpswich Town - Le Havre

Ipswich Town
0 matches total
Le Havre
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Ipswich Town
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Le Havre
Ipswich Town Team comparison Le Havre
1 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
1 Scored 0
2 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
1 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
1 Scored 0
2 Conceded 0

Ipsvich Taun Gavr 1 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 1 Scored 0 2 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 27% 37% 36% Double chance 32% 31% 37% Materialy po prognozam «PSZh» — «Gavr». Khoroshiy den dlya debyuta Kuzyaeva CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330902' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Friendlies (kluby) — 2026 Turnirnaya Standings